Where is the Bump, Obama? (Full Version)

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CherishedbyGod -> Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 5:13:07 PM)

He has received no post-convention bump up in the polls. In fact, with everything pointing to the fact that this election should be a Democratic romp, it is, instead a near dead heat.

Obama, are you Obummered?




stampinlady -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 5:52:33 PM)

I was convinced to vote for him so he got a bump from me.[;)]




csl7037 -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 6:02:38 PM)

That convention was sad. All Obama's talk of change is beginning to look a lot like the Emporer's New Clothes now. He's talked about for so long but kinda walked into that convention naked! No bump.




rcjames -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 6:02:47 PM)

Well he got a bump today (on the head) by McCains choice for V.P.

Thanks
RC




csl7037 -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 6:05:04 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: rcjames

Well he got a bump today (on the head) by McCains choice for V.P.

Thanks
RC


[sm=yummy.gif] ROFL!! HA HA HA!!!




tafkam -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 6:11:07 PM)

Of course the Democrats are spinning this by saying they really didn't expect a bump.

http://thehill.com/campaign-2008/obama-advisers-expect-little-to-no-bump-from-convention-2008-08-28.html

Neither would I, after the snooze fest that was the democratic Convention.

This is looking more and more like McCain's race to lose......




CherishedbyGod -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 6:47:52 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: csl7037

quote:

ORIGINAL: rcjames

Well he got a bump today (on the head) by McCains choice for V.P.

Thanks
RC


[sm=yummy.gif] ROFL!! HA HA HA!!!


And Biden had better prepare himself well for as Dubya said on another thread "Palin, being the athlete and outdoorswoman that she is, might just deck Biden"....[8D]....lol....




CherishedbyGod -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 6:57:43 PM)

Here is a quote from the same article that Tafkam linked to a few posts above:

The two men acknowledged that the race continues to be close, and they said they expect it to stay that way until Election Day. Many Democrats have expressed worry about the closeness of the race given the toxic political environment Republicans face.

"We had no illusions that this was going to be anything but close," Axelrod said, noting that in modern American politics, "there's no such thing as a landslide."


These quotes just do not even make sense. It should not be close! Everything points to the fact that it should be a landslide for the Democrats.

The man's quote that there is no such thing as a landslide in modern American politics is just not true.

What about Reagan and Mondale?

I think they are suffering from oxygen deprivation from Mile High Statium where they continue to promote their rock-star image with a following of hugh crowds.




henny -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 7:01:56 PM)

He's up 49 to 41 in today's gallup, compared to a tie over the past couple weeks (and MCCain even topped him by a point for a couple days last week):

http://www.gallup.com

I don't think he's going to get much of a sustained bump, given how close the conventions are though.




csl7037 -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 7:05:41 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: tafkam
This is looking more and more like McCain's race to lose......


Ugh, don't say that. There's a long way to go yet.




CherishedbyGod -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 7:06:31 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: henny

He's up 49 to 41 in today's gallup, compared to a tie over the past couple weeks (and MCCain even topped him by a point for a couple days last week):

http://www.gallup.com

I don't think he's going to get much of a sustained bump, given how close the conventions are though.


That is really sad. That after the convention, he cannot even pull to 50%[8|]




wing2000 -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 7:07:23 PM)

Only in America would people be looking for a bump hours after the close of the convention <wing shakes his head>


...I'll start paying attention to polls in October...




henny -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 7:12:04 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: CherishedbyGod

quote:

ORIGINAL: henny

He's up 49 to 41 in today's gallup, compared to a tie over the past couple weeks (and MCCain even topped him by a point for a couple days last week):

http://www.gallup.com

I don't think he's going to get much of a sustained bump, given how close the conventions are though.


That is really sad. That after the convention, he cannot even pull to 50%[8|]



He's higher than he's been in months, though. I don't think he's ever polled higher than a 49% on the gallup, so he did get a bit of a bump. According to the gallup the average post convention bump is 4-6 points, so that's about on target.

Plus today's Pull was conducted on Wednesday, so it was still in the middle of the convention.I don't think it will last long, though, as I'm not sure what effect McCain's VP announcement will have. We'll have to wait and see (we won't know untill like Monday or Tuesday, as there's a lag. Polls aren't instant).




CherishedbyGod -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 7:41:03 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: henny

He's higher than he's been in months, though. I don't think he's ever polled higher than a 49% on the gallup, so he did get a bit of a bump. According to the gallup the average post convention bump is 4-6 points, so that's about on target.

Plus today's Pull was conducted on Wednesday, so it was still in the middle of the convention.I don't think it will last long, though, as I'm not sure what effect McCain's VP announcement will have. We'll have to wait and see (we won't know untill like Monday or Tuesday, as there's a lag. Polls aren't instant).


But, honestly. All things considered, if the man has never even pulled 50% up until today, with the current political climate greatly favoring the Democrats, I guarantee, they are really concerned in the Democratic leadership.

Bump or no bump, (and I am grateful for their sake if they have gotten a bump) the man should be doing a whole lot better than he is doing. Something is definitely wrong here and you better believe they must be pretty concerned.




CherishedbyGod -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 7:43:24 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: wing2000

Only in America would people be looking for a bump hours after the close of the convention <wing shakes his head>



You could have saved your neck muscles by not reading my post [;)]




ManimalX -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 8:21:33 PM)

Two words: Bradley Effect.

Three more: Obama is over.




CherishedbyGod -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 8:53:19 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: ManimalX

Three more: Obama is over.


I really do believe that [:)]




csl7037 -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 10:00:34 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: CherishedbyGod

quote:

ORIGINAL: ManimalX

Three more: Obama is over.


I really do believe that [:)]


I believed that two days into that pathetic convention.




tafkam -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/29/2008 10:02:34 PM)

It's a shame they didn't have an Applause-o-meter.....Hillary would have buried the needle, then it could have taken the rest of the week off....




inthysite -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/30/2008 12:02:15 AM)

quote:

Two words: Bradley Effect.

Three more: Obama is over.


The latest excuse I'm hearing now is that the polls are off because the youth don't use land lines and the pollsters don't want to call cell phones, so the youth, who support NObama, aren't being polled. Therefor the numbers are off and NObama is doing better than the polls suggest.

Just do a search on polling and cell phones and you'll see what I mean.




djv1255 -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/30/2008 12:18:14 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: inthysite

quote:

Two words: Bradley Effect.

Three more: Obama is over.


The latest excuse I'm hearing now is that the polls are off because the youth don't use land lines and the pollsters don't want to call cell phones, so the youth, who support NObama, aren't being polled. Therefor the numbers are off and NObama is doing better than the polls suggest.

Just do a search on polling and cell phones and you'll see what I mean.


Of course they poll younger voters. At the beginning, Obama was going on and on about how young voters were thrilled that he was running.

Here is the first story that came up when I did a search.




inthysite -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/30/2008 12:49:00 AM)

quote:

Of course they poll younger voters. At the beginning, Obama was going on and on about how young voters were thrilled that he was running.

Here is the first story that came up when I did a search.


Sweet!

Like I said, it's the latest excuse. Grasping at any straw they can find to explain why he isn't running away with this. As I recall he had the same problem in the primaries, only Hillary waited too long to take advantage.

Looks like McCain isn't going to make that same mistake.




Thessa -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/30/2008 1:34:27 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: rcjames

Well he got a bump today (on the head) by McCains choice for V.P.

Thanks
RC



LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!




tracydolls -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/30/2008 2:28:44 AM)

What are ya gonna do when that boy wins it?


He too busy bumping America's head.

Sometimes its just fun to watch, everyone walking around dizzy with ice on their heads, trying to figure out who hit them and with what.


hehehe




Thessa -> RE: Where is the Bump, Obama? (8/30/2008 4:01:06 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: tracydolls

What are ya gonna do when that boy wins it?


He too busy bumping America's head.

Sometimes its just fun to watch, everyone walking around dizzy with ice on their heads, trying to figure out who hit them and with what.


hehehe



Obama wont win.




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