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mutinywxgirl -> RE: Hurricane Tracking charts (8/31/2008 7:33:06 AM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: creationtalk quote:
I'm praying that the storm seriously weakens!!!!! Lisa, keep praying. I am SO not liking the path this thing is taking. At first the tracks had it far enough west that we would not take too big a hit, but the current track has it coming in around Grand Isle, LA. If it does that 50 mile jump to the east that has been a characteristic of the major hurricanes I've experienced that came up this way, New Orleans could take a direct hit...and we would be back in the strongest part of the storm. Yes, I know - I just saw - I'm reading the "discussion" right now on the latest advisory. The only "good" thing is that the waters are a bit "cooler" right along the coastline, so it should weaken it just a bit, AND there is a bit of upper-level shear going on. That'll help - a bit. BUT, that said, we're still looking at this being a strong Cat 3 upon landfall. It does not look good for the entire area - with it being a bit farther to the east (even by only a few miles). It's taking it into a much more populated area. Believe me, I continue to pray - I can already feel that I'm kicking into "disaster mode". He's just entering the "loop current" - meaning he should be intensifying right now. Strength forecasting is the HARDEST thing to do in storms - the research we did in school showed that.....and it's not gotten any better.
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